If a test with a certain sensitivity and specificity is used
in a population with a certain disease prevalence, then a certain percentage of
patients in the population will be misclassified.
NOTE: This is a variation on the content in 39.01.13
(above).
|
Population
|
Expression
|
|
percent true positives
|
(percent prevalent) * (sensitivity)
|
|
percent false negatives
|
(percent prevalent) * (1 - (sensitivity))
|
|
percent true negatives
|
(100 - (percent prevalent)) * (specificity)
|
|
percent false positives
|
(100 - (percent prevalent)) * (1 - (specificty))
|
= (percent prevalent) * (sensitivity) / ((100 - (percent
prevalent)) * (1 - (specificity)))
= (percent prevalent) * (1 - (sensitivity)) / ((100 -
(percent prevalent)) * (specificity))