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 Release 21.0, Jan 2008
 
Chapter : ch29. Trauma & Emergency Medicine Section : Triage of the Trauma Patient
  Trauma Triage Rules of the ASC/COT from 1999 with Mortality Risk Equation of Tinkoff and OÕConnor

  Excel Sheet Reference
Copyright (c) 2006-2007, Institute for Algorithmic Medicine, Houston, TX, USA. All rights reserved.

Overview :

The American College of Surgeons Committee on Trauma (ASC/COT) proposed clinical findings useful to triage patients. Tinkoff and O’Connor validated the rules and developed an equation to predict mortality. The latter two authors are from the Christiana Health System in Newark, Delaware.

 

Triage rules:

(1) low systolic blood pressure (< 90 mm Hg)

(2) Glasgow coma score (GCS) < 8

(3) airway compromise requiring endotrachial intubation or a surgical airway

(4) penetrating gunshot wound (GSW) to head, neck, thorax or abdomen (head or torso)

(5) transfer from another hospital receiving blood to maintain vital signs

(6) discretion of ED physician

 

where:

• The abstract by Tinkoff and O’Connor had a penetrating wound to the head or torso rather than a gunshot wound.

 

Tinkoff and O’Connor found that the first 4 criteria correlated with urgent surgery, ICU admission and mortality. The logistic regression model for mortality was (with 0 if risk factor absent and 1 if present):

 

X =

= (0.0912 * (penetrating GSW)) + (2.2942 * (GCS)) + (1.8363 * (hypotension)) + (2.2768 * (emergency airway)) – 4.98

 

probability of mortality =

= 1 / (1 + EXP((-1)*X))

 

  References:

American College of Surgeons Committee on Trauma. Amendments to Resources for Optimal Care of the Injured Patient: 1999. Chicago, Illinois. American College of Surgeons. 2000. www.facs.org.

Tinkoff GH, O’Connor RE. Validation of new trauma triage rules for trauma attending response to the Emergency Department. J Trauma Injury Infeciton Critical Care. 2000; 49: 1171 (EAST abstract)

Tinkoff GH, O’Connor RE. Validation of the New Trauma Triage Rules for Trauma attending response to the Emergency Deparatment. J Trauma Injury Infection Critical Care. 2002; 52: 1153-1159.

 

 

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