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Overview :
Severe falciparum malaria is an important cause of death in
African children. Children at risk for death can be identified by certain
clinical indicators.
Patient Population:
• Kenyan children
seen at a rural hospital
• children excluded
if died upon arrival at the hospital or if died from causes other than severe
malaria
• 84% of deaths
occurred within 24 hours of admission
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Indicator from
Logistic Regression Analysis
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Relative Risk
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95% Confidence Interval
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impaired consciousness
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3.3
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1.6-7.0
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respiratory distress
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3.9
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2.0-7.7
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hypoglycemia
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3.3
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1.6-6.7
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jaundice
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2.6
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1.1-6.3
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where:
• impaired
consciousness is when a patient has a depressed level of consciousness but can
localize a painful stimulus (appears to correspond to a Blantyre coma score <= 2)
• if a child had a
seizure, determination of consciousness level was delayed for 1 hour after
spontaneous termination of seizure or for 6 hours if seizures controlled with
anticonvulsant drugs, to prevent influence of any transient post-ictal
phenomenon
• prostration is
determined by observing whether a sitting position could be maintained without
support from an attendant
• respiratory
distress is indicated by the presence of any of the following signs: alar
flaring, chest recession (intercostal or subcostal), use of accessory muscles
of respiration, or abnormally deep breathing
• hypoglycemia is
a blood glucose < 40 mg/dL (2.2 mmol/L)
84.4% of fatal cases could be identified by presence of
impaired consciousness and/or respiratory distress, versus 79.7% by WHO
criteria.
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