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 Release 21.0, Jan 2008
 
Chapter : ch11. Hepatobiliary & Pancreas Section : Diagnosis and Prognosis of Pancreatitis
  Simplified Prognostic Criteria of Agarwal and Pitchumoni for Acute Pancreatitis

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Copyright (c) 2006-2007, Institute for Algorithmic Medicine, Houston, TX, USA. All rights reserved.

Overview :

Agarwal and Pitchumoni developed a simplified prognostic score for patients with acute pancreatitis based on the clinical criteria of Bank et al.

 

Group

Parameter

cardiac

systolic blood pressure

 

tachycardia

pulmonary

dyspnea

 

PaO2

renal

urinary output

metabolic

serum calcium

 

serum albumin

 

 

Parameter

Finding during initial 48 hours

Points

systolic blood pressure

< 90 mm Hg

1

 

>= 90 mm Hg

0

tachycardia

> 130 beats per minute

1

 

<= 130 beats per minute

0

dyspnea

yes

1

 

no

0

PaO2

< 60 mm Hg

1

 

>= 60 mm Hg

0

urinary output

< 50 mL per hour

1

 

>= 50 mL per hour

0

calcium

< 8 mg/dL

1

 

>= 8 mg/dL

0

albumin

< 3.2 g/dL

1

 

>= 3.2 g/dL

0

 

simplified prognostic score =

= SUM(points for 7 parameters)

 

Interpretation:

• minimum score = 0

• maximum score = 7

• A score >= 1 is associated with increased complications.

 

Prognostic Score

Percent Complications

0

7.5%

>= 1

47.8%

 

  References:

Agarwal N, Pitchumoni CS. Simplified prognostic criteria in acute pancreatitis. Pancreas. 1986; 1: 69-73.

Bank S, Wise L, et al. Risk factors in acute pancreatitis. Am J Gastroenterol. 1983; 78: 637-640.

 

 

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